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The US tariff level barely moves as Section 122 lapses as two Section 301 duties take its place
The Global Trade Alert's US tariff estimates indicate effective replacement with some country-specific variationsBetween 21 and 24 July 2026 the trade-weighted average US tariff barely moves, from 11.0% to 11.2% of import value even though a near-uniform surcharge gives way to two country-specific regimes, and relative market access spreads out again.
Johannes Fritz 24 Jul 2026
Forced-Labour Section 301 Tariffs on 60 Economies Take Effect on 24 July: An Overview of the Final Action
Additional duties of 10% or 12.5% now apply to imports from 60 economies. This overview explains how the 431-page notice is organised and provides the source document repackaged for each economy; impact estimates follow separately.The United States Trade Representative's final action in its 60 forced-labour Section 301 investigations took effect on 24 July 2026, imposing additional duties of 10% or 12.5% on all products of the investigated economies.
Johannes Fritz 24 Jul 2026
Section 338 tariffs raise Canada’s average US tariff to 6.27%
First invocation of the statute since the 1940s; USMCA offers no reliefThree proclamations of 20 July 2026 rest on Section 338 of the Tariff Act of 1930 against Canada, the statute's first invocation since the 1940s. From 19 August, the duty covers $17.7bn of Canadian goods, most of it at the full 50% rate, and USMCA certification offers no relief. Canada's average US tariff rises by 1.89 points overnight, to 6.27%.
Johannes Fritz, Fiama Angeles, Ana Elena Sancho 21 Jul 2026
All Analyses
The US tariff level barely moves as Section 122 lapses as two Section 301 duties take its place
The Global Trade Alert's US tariff estimates indicate effective replacement with some country-specific variationsJohannes Fritz 24 Jul 2026
Forced-Labour Section 301 Tariffs on 60 Economies Take Effect on 24 July: An Overview of the Final Action
Additional duties of 10% or 12.5% now apply to imports from 60 economies. This overview explains how the 431-page notice is organised and provides the source document repackaged for each economy; impact estimates follow separately.Johannes Fritz 24 Jul 2026
Section 338: The Return of the Authority
President Trump invoked Section 338 of the Tariff Act of 1930 against Canada on 20 July 2026, leading to an additional 50% duty on 554 Canadian tariff lines. Section 338 has not been referenced since the 1930s and 1940s, with no record of it ever being used to impose tariffs. This explainer sets out how the statute works, its historical precedents, and what the current proclamations against Canada actually cover.Ana Elena Sancho, Fiama Angeles 21 Jul 2026
Section 338 tariffs raise Canada’s average US tariff to 6.27%
First invocation of the statute since the 1940s; USMCA offers no reliefJohannes Fritz, Fiama Angeles, Ana Elena Sancho 21 Jul 2026
Going It Alone on Steel
GTA Monthly Newsletter: July 2026Global Trade Alert 20 Jul 2026
The Final Brazil Section 301 Tariff Takes Effect on 22 July with Wider Exemptions
Brazil's effective US tariff rises to 17.5% and stays there as forced labour replaces Section 122Johannes Fritz 16 Jul 2026
The Services Turn in Trade Securitisation
ZEITGEIST SERIES BRIEFING #96Ana Elena Sancho 15 Jul 2026
Global Trade Alert in the News
Recent mentions and citations of our evidence and insights.Global Trade Alert 14 Jul 2026
GTA Monthly Roundup: June 2026
A summary of trade and industrial policy activity worldwideFiama Angeles, Ana Elena Sancho 02 Jul 2026
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Chokepoint: Tracking Trade Policy Responses to the Hormuz Crisis
Latest update: 18 June 2026, 4:00 pmFiama Angeles, Ana Elena Sancho 18 Jun 2026
How Denial Funds the Capacity it is Meant to Block
ZEITGEIST SERIES BRIEFING #95Fernando Martín Espejo 18 Jun 2026
New Section 301s would hold the US average tariff near today's level
A targeted replacement for the lapsing Section 122 surcharge: the average effective tariff barely moves, and the burden shifts only modestly between economies.Johannes Fritz 03 Jun 2026
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