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Explore our latest reports and pieces
Explore our latest reports and pieces
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The product exemptions underpinning President Trump's new Section 122 surcharge are nearly identical to those under the IEEPA regime it replaces.

The Supreme Court struck down IEEPA tariffs on 20 February 2026. The White House responded with a Section 122 proclamation imposing a surcharge on most imports (initially 10%, raised to 15% on 22 February), effective 24 February 2026 for 150 days. The trade-weighted average US tariff rate is 13.2% under S122 at 15%. This report quantifies the tariff regime under four scenarios: before SCOTUS, IEEPA strike-down, S122 at 10%, and S122 at 15%. The analysis covers 274,000+ trade flows at the exporter x HS 8-digit level.

On 20 February 2026, the Supreme Court struck down President Trump's IEEPA tariffs. Within hours, the White House reimposed them under Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974.
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